As a new season approaches one question a meteorologist is always asked is "What can we expect this season?". Is it going to hotter or cooler than average or is it going to be wetter or drier than average?
On Thursday, September 15, the Climate Prediction Center released its three-month temperature and precipitation probability outlooks.
According to the Climate Prediction Center's 3-month temperature probability, there's a greater chance of Texoma being warmer than average than average or cooler through mid-December. For most of Texoma, the probability of being experiencing warmer than average temperatures over the next three months is between 40-50 percent.
Our average high and low temperatures cool off during the fall months. The average high temperature goes from 88° on September 15 to 77° on October 15, then by November 15 our average high is down to 65°.
As of September 14, Wichita Falls has officially recorded 23.54" of rain so far this year, which is 2.40" above average for this time of year.
It's a good thing we've seen above average precipitation. According to the Climate Prediction Center's 3-month precipitation probability, there's a greater chance of Texoma seeing below average than average or above average precipitation through mid-December. For most of Texoma, the probability of experiencing below average precipitation over the next three months is between 33-40 percent.
Even though October is one of our wetter months, November and December tend to be some of our drier months.
Wichita Falls' Average Monthly Rainfall Totals: September: 2.81", October: 3.11", November: 1.65" and December: 1.62".
The latest El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecast is leaning towards neutral conditions for the fall and winter. This means neither an El Nino or La Nina is forecast.